Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000029 0.000033 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000054 0.000061
2024-10-06 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000042 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076
2024-10-13 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000044 0.000056 0.000071 0.000091
2024-10-20 0.000016 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000076 0.000101
2024-10-27 0.000014 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000083 0.000114
2024-11-03 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000061 0.000087 0.000124
2024-11-10 0.000012 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043 0.000065 0.000095 0.000138
2024-11-17 0.000011 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000068 0.000102 0.000152
2024-11-24 0.000010 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000071 0.000109 0.000166
2024-12-01 0.000009 0.000016 0.000026 0.000044 0.000072 0.000112 0.000176
2024-12-08 0.000008 0.000015 0.000025 0.000043 0.000072 0.000116 0.000185
2024-12-15 0.000007 0.000014 0.000025 0.000044 0.000075 0.000122 0.000198
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000014 0.000025 0.000045 0.000079 0.000131 0.000217
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000138 0.000232
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000047 0.000085 0.000147 0.000252
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000012 0.000023 0.000046 0.000085 0.000149 0.000260
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000046 0.000087 0.000156 0.000277
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000011 0.000022 0.000045 0.000088 0.000160 0.000288
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000046 0.000091 0.000169 0.000309
2025-02-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000047 0.000095 0.000177 0.000328
2025-02-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000048 0.000098 0.000186 0.000349
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000047 0.000098 0.000189 0.000360
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000009 0.000021 0.000047 0.000098 0.000193 0.000371